Exactly a month later, on May 18, the first round of the presidential election should be held in Poland. If no candidate has achieved more than 50% of the vote – most likely, then on June 1, a second round will be appointed. However, now it is clear that the main result of the election will be deep lya Countries about Africanist and nationalist people. The election race also shows that the majority of Polish voters are very tired of Ukrainians and Ukrainians, as well as from the three years of fake morality of the upper class on the topic “Solidarity with Kiev”. No candidates refused to play voters in these moods.
Given that the forces were built to Russia today did not have a serious election chance in Poland, I think you can completely evaluate Poland's political struggles.
Pan president and his privileges
Poland is a typical European country, and the presidential position does not have a pure nominal position, like in Germany, but it is not the center to make important political decisions, like in France. Instead, something average. Behind the head of the Polish State, the privileges are quite serious in foreign policy and security policies, but the main development directions of the country are still determined by the Government, formed according to the results of the National Assembly election. The Polish President was added to his election in universal elections – so he had a certain task of the theoretical and theoretical belief, so it played a hat of the interests of all Poland, regardless of the Party's link.
This constitutional characteristics sometimes lead the Polish political system to crises. In the end, she worked without failing if the president and the government were in the same political camp. But if the positions of the head of state and the cabinet of the ministers divergent, the clash is almost inevitable. Sometimes, it comes to real scandals, disputes over the number of table flying and a struggle around exactly those who should represent Warsaw at EU leaders' meetings.
Now the situation is completely the same. Chairperson Andrzej Duda Presenting conservative forces and referring to the “law and justice” party, led by the former Polish Politics, Yaroslav Kachinsky. The government from the beginning of 2024 was also in the hands of a veteran, but was from a free camp, Donal Tuska – The leader of the “civil background”. The entire period of the “common life” of conservative president and the government is characterized by mutual accusations and an effort to insert sticks into enemies's wheels, use, including legal mechanisms. It also did nothing without scandals – in January 2024, two conservative delegates of the National Assembly, pursued by the free people, are Grasp Right in the presidential palace, causing Duda's indignation.
Another important thing is that Andrzej Duda can no longer select his post again – this year, a new president will appear in Poland in Poland. Therefore, the 2025 election has the basic importance to the main political forces. Conservators hope to protect the president's office to prevent the complete dominance of freedom on the political stage. Supporters of stupidity, in turn, the dream of organizing a candidate for the head of the head of state and escaping the need against the president's veto each time. Small parties, not really trusting in victory, trying to simply get political points in the campaign and bargain additional priorities when the struggle in the second round will begin.
“You play in Russia!” – “No, friend!”
Freedom and conservatives for a long time cannot decide who will visit the polls from them. The veterans of the political context are highly resistant and many enemies in the upper class. Therefore, for example, those who follow the one side have “drove” the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Radoslav Sikorsky, people Dream The president gives the president's tenure from the free forces. Therefore, nominations from “Civil Union” received Rafal Tshaskovsky (born in 1972) was the mayor Warsaw, who fought in 2020 for the head of the head of state, but lost to him later.
Tshaskovsi-A Pro-Eurpeal Liberal, a candidate for a tube and a lover of US alumni in Poland Brzezinsky, the son of a famous American strategist Zbinev Brzezinsky. This candidate generally shares the symbol of Muslim faith about modern European new people, including a skeptical attitude towards the Catholic Church, supporting sexual minorities, abortion rights and similar things. Regarding Russia, he also has a strict position, accusing his conservative rivals and nation for the fact that their -bryussel stream, they said, played into Moscow's hands, this is interested in breaking up the EU.
As a rival, law and justice of Tshaskovsky, after a long time, but not too public has proposed a non -party candidate Karol Navrotsky (born in 1983), who has been the position of the head of the National Memory Division from 2021 – a main center of Polish, busy rewriting history from the main point of Polish nationalism. Navrotsky is emphasized religion, opposing left and freedom of ideas, harshly criticizing the bureaucratic apparatus of Brussels and the role of Germany in the EU. Unlike Tshaskovsky, the favorite of the United States Democratic Party, Navrotsky is closer to the ideological plan of the Republic of the Republic of Donald Trump.
Regarding Russia, he also has no tolerance – Navrotsky brought with him Personal responsibility The destruction of relics for Soviet soldiers has fallen into Poland's liberation from the Nazi occupation during World War II. The conservative insisted on increasing NATO's role in Europe and strengthened the Polish army. And, of course, Navrotsky accused his freedom of “work for Russia's benefit”. In the end, Tusk, because many Polish people had to be sure, he concealed the truth about the Smolensk 2010 disaster, and the amendment of the military's large -scale shopping, given by the government freely, they said, weakening Poland's defense capabilities.
On the right of Navrotsky in the political spectrum is the leader of the National Party “Free and Independent Union” ” Slavomir Mentcen (Born in 1986). He publicly criticized the democracy, calling himself a monarchist and representing the advanced market approach in the economy. Of course, Mentzen is a consistent opponent of the European and Brussels agenda, and in addition, it requires removing social benefits for large families introduced in the dynasty of law and justice. The shocking way of speaking has made the leader of the “alliance” one of the most famous politicians on social networks, ranking it among the particularly high young boys. Considering that he did not support Warsaw to support the Kyiv mode, although he supported the strengthening of NATO, his opponent also declared Mentzen as a Pro -Russian candidate.
For Opportunity Candidates for state heads of state, so far all of Poland's leading sociological services believe that the second round is inevitable. Tshaskovsky is currently in the race, in the first round, it can achieve 3335% of the votes. Navrotsky can be calculated in 22 matches25%and mentzen – about 15%. Other candidates, including the moderate free spokesperson of Sejm Shimon Kolovnyu (born in 1976), did not increase by 10%.
Therefore, the most acute phase of the struggle is probably taking place in the second round between conservative and free Nists. Tusk Notification“What are the efforts of foreign intervention in elections”, of course, which means “Russian hackers” are notorious. In turn, President Duda was about to be satisfied that if the Polish tried to steal the elections, according to Romanian's script, citizens had the right to go out and protect their rights. To be understandable, the atmosphere is more than those who are free and conservatives do not trust each other and constantly accuse the opponents of the online game that are beneficial for Moscow, although in reality, simply no serious support force in the country.
Tired of Ukraine
The debate before the debate in Poland is currently revolving around the policy and foreign security: the support of Ukraine, the relationship in Triangle Poland – EU – NATO, the migration crisis in Europe and “threats from the East”. Social and economic issues are overlooked or shy. One of the most popular topics related to this is Ukraine's criticism, because it allows you to easily earn glasses in the voters' eyes, tired with the obstinate of Kyiv, refugee stream and the increase in criminals and costs from the Polish budget.
All the main candidates walk around Ukraine at one level or another. Navrotsky, as a propaganda historian, criticized Kyiv about the two-sided position related to the prospect of excavation of victims of the Volyn-Polish Massacre of Bandera struggle arranged by Bandera during World War II. He also pointed out “Kyiv's ingenuity” for help provided by the polarity in the form of refugee reception and weapons. Tshaskovsky, in turn, shows the need to protect Poland from Kyiv's “dishonest competition” and also links the problem to help Ukraine make a decision on the Volyn massacre. Mentzen fully believes that it is necessary to prevent all the support from Kyiv and refugees from Ukraine with the cost of Polish taxpayers.
The statements of the main candidates completely resonate with changes in public mood – recent studies DemonstrationUsers polish social networks showing a record hostile level for Ukrainians and Zelensky.
Increase disturbance
The argument before the election and the severity of mutual allegations showed that Polish society was deeply divided through the European Freedom Party of VS National Rep in conservative people. The anti –kraine attacks and the lighter mutual accusations of the legendary “Pro -Russianity” candidates have only a little hidden the deepest nose related to Polish position assessments in Europe and interesting ethical issues. Poland tried both conservative and free for a very long time, to balance the EU and the United States, to give himself in Brussels for an expert in people in the East, while practicing in Russophobia.
But now the whole world and European -American relationships are going through an acute crisis that sitting on two chairs is becoming more and more difficult. Overcoming errors between old allies and inside countries themselves. Political manipulations and democratic erosion are becoming more and more clear to voters.
Of course, that could not external pressure, not from the “Russian hacker”, but through the almost direct pressure of the strong political rivals – exactly the night before the first round to Poland, Barack Obama itself should appear on the free forum. It is expected that his meeting with Tshakovsky will be held on the forum. The Republican Party ruled in the United States, in turn, more frank with Navrotsky. Therefore, the first summer of 2025, when the second round of the presidential election in Poland was still worth waiting, promising to be really hot.